Amid the recent volatility across equity markets, I had thought I’ll share my views on the S and P 500.
I can’t predict where the markets will go, but I can control my actions according to the different market scenarios.
4 Reasons Why I’m Bearish on The S and P 500
1. The 200-day moving average is pointing lower. This signals a shift in the longer-term trend.
2. Price is below the 20, 50, 100, and 200-day moving average. This is bearish across short, intermediate, and longer-term time frames.
3. Over the last 9 days, selling occurs on higher volume and buying occurs on lighter volume.
4. Price re-tested the previous support turned resistance. This could be a turning point where the bears regain control.
When will my bias change?
1. 1800 is significant support where the bulls will attempt to regain control. If it holds up, you can expect the price to re-test the 1980 – 2000 resistance area.
2. If the price breaks above the 1980 – 2000 area, I’ll change my bias from bearish to neutral.
1. If you’re a position trader, you can look to short with stops above the resistance area in S and P.
2. If you’re a day trader, you can zoom into the 15 mins chart and look for trading opportunities in s and p.
Rejection of higher prices at resistance areas are shorting opportunities.
I hope you found this post about s and p helpful. This is not trading advice. Kindly do your due diligence before risking your hard-earned money.
As always, comments are welcomed and encouraged. Cheers!
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I’m also bearish on the SP-500 and look for stocks that are in downtrend in the last year.
Thanks for sharing your view 🙂
It’s my pleasure Shlomi 🙂
Thank you for your continuous engagement.
Good advice keep looking for your next issue.
Thank you Nazda 🙂
Great Analysis Raynor, it certainly doesn’t look pretty at the moment and until we break the recent low and really flush the last of the supply out of there we may not see prices turn in any meaningful way. Keep up the great work!
Great to see you here!
Yes I agree with you, taking out the last swing low would trigger stops from those who went long.
Thank you for your kind words, hope to hear more from you in future 🙂