There's a lot to cover, and I want to dive straight in...
What are Bollinger Bands
To understand this indicator first, you must know that it is three components to it, so I want to explain it to you:
The first component is basically the middle band. This is a very simple 20-period moving average.
Then the lower band and the upper band are simply two standard deviations away from the mean, or rather, away from the middle band.
They're just two standard deviations away from it.
Some of you might be wondering what is the standard deviation?
It's basically to determine how overstretched the market is.
When you say that something is three standard deviations away from the mean, it's telling you that it's pretty darn overstretched.
Because it's three standard deviations away.
The higher the standard deviation, the more overstretched the so-called market it.
One thing to understand is that just because the market is overstretched or it's at a far standard deviation away, it does not mean that the market will immediately reverse.
This is something to bear in mind and take note of.
I just want to break it down to you the concept of standard deviation.
Basically, it's to illustrate to you how to tell how overstretched the market or price is by using this concept.
A big mistake…
A big mistake that traders make when they are trading with Bollinger Bands is taking the standard deviation for granted.
Because they see the market, "Oh, it's at this outer Bollinger Band is two standard deviations away from the mean, I should go short.”
You know, if you go short, you can see that it's going to be very painful as the market continues to grind higher.
First and foremost, a big mistake that traders make is taking it for granted that just because the price is at the outer Bollinger Band they will blindly go short.
Or just because the price is hugging the outer Bollinger Band, it means that it's a good time to go short, not especially when the market is in an uptrend.
One thing to bear in mind is that not always pay attention to the trend.
You want to be trading along with the trend.
It doesn't matter what an indicator says.
It doesn't matter if it's overbought or oversold or very overstretched, and blah, blah, blah.
Pay attention to what is the trend.
From then on, if you trade along with the same direction of the trend now you would tend to make better trading setups and trading opportunities.
Okay, so this is a mistake.
Don't just blindly short, because the price is at the outer band.
So moving on…
How to find “explosive” moves
I want to share with you three techniques that you can use when trading with Bollinger Bands.
The first one is what I call the Bollinger Band squeeze.
What this means is that when you notice your Bollinger Bands getting tighter and tighter.
Like for example, you look at this outer band:
It's getting tighter and tighter, looking like a very squeeze top sausage.
It's telling me that the volatility of the market is shrinking.
What happened is that if the volatility of the market is shrinking, there’s a good chance that volatility will expand sometime in the future.
We can see that volatility has shrunk and that one point is that boom.
Massive breakdown over here on crude oil.
The Bollinger Bands could give you a signal, telling you that this market could possibly have a breakout move.
This Bollinger Band squeeze gives you a potential heads-up.
Like, "Hey, warning, this market could possibly break out sometime in the future."
This is how we can actually go about finding explosive moves in the market by paying attention to the Bollinger Bands.
I pay attention to the squeeze because when the market breaks out, when volatility expands, you look at the bands, it looks like a balloon right now.
Prior to the huge breakout, you notice a sausage-looking squeeze.
The bands are somewhat in a horizontal, not yet like an inflated balloon.
It's still like a very tight sausage.
Okay, so this is one tip, the first tip that I want to share with you.
How do you actually better time your entries when trading with Bollinger Bands
This is useful, especially when the market is trending.
Because when the market is trending...
Say, for example, the market is in a range, breaks out.
A lot of times, traders will look for a previous resistance, turned support.
Hoping the market will come down lower, get long, and then the long side.
But more often than not, the market doesn't give you this retest so beautifully.
What you can do to time your entry on the pull-back, especially if the pull-back doesn't retrace deep enough into this previous resistance turned support?
What you can do is you can use the Bollinger Band:
If you recall, the middle band is the 20-period moving average.
You see that the Bollinger Band, or where the market is trending, tends to retest back to the 20-period moving average before continuing lower.
To a trader, this 20-period moving average could present to you trading opportunities.
A potential area where the pull-back could end, and then continue to trip in the direction of the trend.
When the market retraces back towards the 20-period moving average, that could be a potential area of value.
A potential area that might want to initiate a trading trigger.
Alright, an entry trigger for you for your trade.
So, this 20-period moving average is an area of value that you can pay attention to, to better time your entry.
Here's another example:
We can see over here, the market broke and closed above the area of resistance, came back, retest the 20-period moving average, continued higher, almost resting it, then continued trading higher.
We can see that the 20-period moving average is an area of value.
A potential area where you can actually time the entry to trade with the trend.
One last tip is to share with you is how to use Bollinger Bands to ride big trends.
We're using the same concept of the 20-period moving average, you can trail your stock loss.
That means you will remain in the trade until the market break and close above the 20-period moving average, and then you exit your trade.
Alternatively, if you want to give your trade more room to breathe.
What it can do is that you can also trail it using the outer Bollinger Band.
In this case, if you use the outer Bollinger Band, you would only exit when the market breaks and close above the outer Bollinger Band.
So, give your trade more room to breathe and increase the odds of capturing a longer-term trend.
This is also another way on how you can actually use Bollinger Bands to ride the trends.
Just a quick recap to what you've learned today…